Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 1Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Chaves
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Porto
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Chaves 1-2 SC Farense
The last four meetings between Chaves and Farense have produced a combined 14 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest this weekend. Mota's men are the more in-form side and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | SC Farense |
48.59% ( -0.29) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 27.2% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.26) | 45.69% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.25) | 68.01% ( -0.25) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( -0.02) | 18.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.02) | 50.37% ( 0.02) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.36) | 30.53% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.25% ( 0.43) | 66.75% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 48.59%
SC Farense 27.2%
Draw 24.21%
| Chaves | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.59% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.2% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Farense
Chaves
21.9%Draw
28.1%SC Farense
50.0%32
