MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 19:09:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
0 - 1
Benfica


Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Benfica
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 1-4 Benfica

Benfica have been ruthless in the league since losing to Boavista on the opening day and should have too much for their hosts here. Estoril have been in fine goalscoring form all season but simply concede too many goals, and Benfica will expect to take advantage of that in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
18.66% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 59.45% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)67.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.66%
    Benfica 59.44%
    Draw 21.88%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.66%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.44%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
10.7%
Draw
0.0%
Benfica
89.3%
28
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!