Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
18.66% ( -0.01) | 21.89% ( -0.01) | 59.45% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( 0.01) | 44.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% ( 0.01) | 67.22% ( -0.01) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -0.01) | 37.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.38% ( -0.01) | 74.61% ( 0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( 0.01) | 14.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.09% ( 0.02) | 42.9% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.66% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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