Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
3 - 1
Arouca

Nlavo (9'), Alan (45+2' pen.), Madson (65')
Ofori (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Simao (3')
Quaresma (74'), Faria Camara Lamba (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
Monday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Arouca

Despite claiming 1-0 victories last season, the low-scoring encounters were anomalies in this fixture that had seen both sides score in the previous six. Moreirense and Arouca should return to the past pattern on Sunday, and we are backing the hosts to notch consecutive wins to take advantage of playing in front of their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
42.58% ( 0.24)	26.38% ( 0.07)	31.03% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 51.74% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

-0.39)

52.8% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

-0.33)

74.42% (

0.34)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

-0.05)

24.57% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94% (

-0.07)

59.05% (

0.08)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

-0.41)

31.4% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

-0.48)

67.78% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 42.58%

Arouca 31.04%

Draw 26.38%

Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.04%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Arouca

Moreirense

88.6%

Draw

11.4%

Arouca

0.0%

Head to Head

Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm

Gameweek 26

Moreirense

1-0

Arouca

Infande (10')
Ofori (26')

Kouassi (19')

> Preview

Oct 27, 2023 8.15pm

Gameweek 9

Arouca

0-1

Moreirense

Trezza (37'), Kouassi (46')

Marcelo (39')
Antonisse (76')
Antonisse (89')

> Preview

Dec 22, 2022 8.15pm

Quarter-Finals

Moreirense

1-2

Arouca

Luis (44' pen.)

Esgaio (70'), Mujica (79')

Feb 26, 2022 8.30pm

Gameweek 24

Arouca

1-1

Moreirense

Bruninho (79')
Kouassi (67'), Bruninho (86'), Nunes (90+4')

Yan (44')
Paulinho (45+2'), Pacheco (56')
Pacheco (65')

> Preview

Sep 25, 2021 3.30pm

Gameweek 7

Moreirense

2-1

Arouca

Silva (29'), Luis (64')
Silva (25'), Vitoria (61'), Lacerda (74'), Pires (78'), Kewin (90+3')

Silva (82')
Ba (15'), Kouassi (90+3')

> Preview

Form Guide

Farense 1-2 Moreirense

Famalicao 3-2 Moreirense

Moreirense 0-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Moreirense 1-1 Chaves

Moreirense 2-0 Penafiel

Moreirense 2-1 Uniao de Leiria

Arouca 0-0 Estrela Amadora

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Moreirense
3 - 1
Arouca