MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 12:42:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Arouca

Moreirense
3 - 1
Arouca

Nlavo (9'), Alan (45+2' pen.), Madson (65')
Ofori (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simao (3')
Quaresma (74'), Faria Camara Lamba (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
Monday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Arouca

Despite claiming 1-0 victories last season, the low-scoring encounters were anomalies in this fixture that had seen both sides score in the previous six. Moreirense and Arouca should return to the past pattern on Sunday, and we are backing the hosts to notch consecutive wins to take advantage of playing in front of their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawArouca
42.58% (0.243 0.24) 26.38% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 31.03% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.39 -0.39)52.8% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.334 -0.33)74.42% (0.337 0.34)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)24.57% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)59.05% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)31.4% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.484 -0.48)67.78% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 42.58%
    Arouca 31.04%
    Draw 26.38%
MoreirenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.04%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Arouca

Moreirense
88.6%
Draw
11.4%
Arouca
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Moreirense
1-0
Arouca
Infande (10')
Ofori (26')

Kouassi (19')
Oct 27, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
0-1
Moreirense

Trezza (37'), Kouassi (46')
Marcelo (39')
Antonisse (76')
Antonisse (89')
Dec 22, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Moreirense
1-2
Arouca
Luis (44' pen.)
Esgaio (70'), Mujica (79')
Feb 26, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Arouca
1-1
Moreirense
Bruninho (79')
Kouassi (67'), Bruninho (86'), Nunes (90+4')
Yan (44')
Paulinho (45+2'), Pacheco (56')
Pacheco (65')
Sep 25, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Moreirense
2-1
Arouca
Silva (29'), Luis (64')
Silva (25'), Vitoria (61'), Lacerda (74'), Pires (78'), Kewin (90+3')
Silva (82')
Ba (15'), Kouassi (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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