Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Pacos de Ferreira1 - 1Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Famalicao
Friday, December 30 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 30 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Chaves
The home side are in dreadful form, and we think Chaves will prolong their wait for their first taste of victory this season. The visitors are on a poor run of form themselves, but they have the perfect opportunity to put an end to it here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Chaves |
41.7% ( 0.39) | 26.64% ( -0.4) | 31.65% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( 1.55) | 53.66% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( 1.29) | 75.15% ( -1.3) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.91) | 25.4% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.78% ( 1.24) | 60.21% ( -1.24) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( 0.8) | 31.41% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.21% ( 0.91) | 67.78% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira 41.7%
Chaves 31.65%
Draw 26.64%
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.65% |
How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Chaves
Pacos de Ferreira
39.1%Draw
13.0%Chaves
47.8%23
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2018 4pm
Nov 5, 2017 4pm
Chaves
4-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Welthon (6'), Gois (70')
da Silva (76'), Gois (86')
da Silva (76'), Gois (86')
Mar 31, 2017 7pm
Nov 5, 2016 4pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Chaves
Pedrinho (80')
Joao Costa Baixinho (15'), Da Silva (84')
Joao Costa Baixinho (15'), Da Silva (84')
Form Guide
