Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.