Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
47.83% ( -0.07) | 24.9% ( -0.06) | 27.27% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.17% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.41% ( 0.32) | 48.59% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% ( 0.3) | 70.71% ( -0.3) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( 0.1) | 20.35% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.24% ( 0.16) | 52.75% ( -0.16) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( 0.27) | 31.99% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( 0.31) | 68.45% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |