Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.