Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr United | 4 | 2 | 8 |
2 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Queen's Park | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
28.09% ( 1.92) | 28.04% ( 1.09) | 43.87% ( -3.02) |
Both teams to score 45.47% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.9% ( -2.81) | 60.1% ( 2.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.68% ( -2.19) | 80.31% ( 2.18) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% ( 0.06) | 37.5% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% ( 0.06) | 74.28% ( -0.07) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -2.79) | 27.24% ( 2.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -3.78) | 62.66% ( 3.77) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 10.21% ( 1.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.52) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.28) Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Livingston | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 42 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |