Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.