MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 02:00:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Arbroath

Ayr
5 - 0
Arbroath

Willoughby (24' pen.), Musonda (32'), Dowds (41' pen.), Dempsey (68'), Chalmers (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gold (27'), McIntosh (59')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
70.68% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15) 17.26% (0.032 0.03) 12.06% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.269 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (0.157 0.16)37.17% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (0.171 0.17)59.37% (-0.172 -0.17)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)9.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (0.291 0.29)41.85% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (0.254 0.25)78.3% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 70.68%
    Arbroath 12.06%
    Draw 17.26%
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.68% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.68%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.06%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Ayr
2-0
Arbroath
Dempsey (74'), Chalmers (77')
Syla (78')

Robinson (42'), Hamilton (55'), Jacobs (63'), Stewart (63')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Arbroath
0-0
Ayr
McIntosh (90+6')
Reading (41'), Young (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Arbroath
2-1
Ayr
Bird (21'), Hylton (82')
O'Brien (45+2'), Hylton (71'), Little (75')
Rose (45+3')
McAllister (26')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Arbroath
2-0
Ayr
Hilson (27'), Gold (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-2
Arbroath
Dempsey (38' pen.), McGinty (76')
Adarkwa (57'), Ben El-Mhanni (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk20134337172043
2Ayr UnitedAyr21125434171741
3Livingston21116427161139
4Partick ThistlePartick2110562619735
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park218582322129
6Raith Rovers197391926-724
7Greenock MortonMorton195861722-523
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton1963102734-721
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline2154122128-719
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians2013161141-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!