Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 1QotS
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Queen of the South.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 QotS
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: QotS vs. Annan
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 8.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 3-0 (10.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 76.24% | 15.56% | 8.21% |
| Both teams to score 43.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% | 41.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% | 63.56% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.94% | 9.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.18% | 30.82% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.85% | 52.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 76.22%
Queen of the South 8.21%
Draw 15.56%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 13.62% 1-0 @ 11.34% 3-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 6.55% 4-1 @ 4.26% 5-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.39% 6-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.43% Total : 76.22% | 1-1 @ 7.39% 0-0 @ 4.73% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.55% Total : 15.56% | 0-1 @ 3.08% 1-2 @ 2.41% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.21% |
