Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.