Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.