Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.