Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 8.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
78.07% ( -0.59) | 13.65% ( 0.16) | 8.28% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.95% ( 0.85) | 31.05% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.55% ( 0.99) | 52.44% ( -1) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.62% ( 0.06) | 6.37% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.08% ( 0.19) | 23.92% ( -0.19) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.22% ( 1.63) | 44.77% ( -1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( 1.28) | 80.75% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.98% Total : 78.07% | 1-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.99% Total : 13.65% | 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 67 | 12 | 55 | 63 |
2 | RangersRangers | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 35 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Motherwell | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 31 |
7 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
8 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
10 | Dundee | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Ross County | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
12 | St Johnstone | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |