Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 0-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
19.93% ( -1.19) | 20.06% ( -0.38) | 60.01% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 61.78% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.58% ( 0.1) | 34.42% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.66% ( 0.12) | 56.34% ( -0.11) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% ( -1.03) | 30.4% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% ( -1.25) | 66.61% ( 1.25) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.77% ( 0.46) | 11.23% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.21% ( 0.99) | 35.79% ( -0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.8% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.87% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.12) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 60.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |