Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
42.15% ( -0.01) | 25.54% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( -0.06) | 48.88% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( -0.05) | 70.97% ( 0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( -0.03) | 23.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( -0.04) | 56.88% ( 0.04) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( -0.04) | 64.37% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |