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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Hibernian
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Triantis (25')
Kwon (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Polworth (44'), Armstrong (59'), Lyons (90+5')
Armstrong (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Hibernian
Thursday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 4-0 Aberdeen
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 3-1 Kilmarnock

Hibs have netted three goals in consecutive home games, playing out a thrilling 3-3 draw with Aberdeen and beating Ross County 3-1, and Gray's men are favourites to outwit an opponent that has struggled for away results this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.

Result
HibernianDrawKilmarnock
54.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 23.32% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 21.8% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.37% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.16% (0.058999999999997 0.06)46.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.9% (0.056000000000001 0.06)69.1% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.049000000000007 0.05)16.94% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.088000000000001 0.09)47.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)72.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 54.88%
    Kilmarnock 21.8%
    Draw 23.32%
HibernianDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.88%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.8%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Kilmarnock

Hibernian
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Kilmarnock
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Kilmarnock
1-1
Hibernian
Anderson (90+2' pen.)
Ndaba (8'), Kennedy (58')
Newell (50')
Kukharevych (63'), Obita (70'), Miller (86')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hibernian
Vente (25' og.), Kennedy (54')
Wright (17'), Kennedy (90')
Ndaba (73')
Newell (66'), Maolida (81')
Marcondes (90+3')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Campbell (36')
Campbell (89'), Miller (90+7')

Donnelly (36'), Lyons (51'), Wright (61'), Findlay (82'), McKenzie (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hibernian
Vassell (61'), Wright (79')
Vassell (45+2'), Lyons (50'), Armstrong (68'), Deas (81'), Magennis (90+2')
Dennis (8' og.), Vente (59')
Miller (24'), Fish (54'), Boyle (89'), Obita (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Fish (16'), Hoppe (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1916215274550
2RangersRangers19123434132139
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd209743021934
4Aberdeen2010463228434
5St Mirren2183102734-727
6Motherwell208392534-927
7Hibernian216782832-425
8Kilmarnock216692536-1124
9Dundee2064103036-622
10Ross County215792138-1722
11Hearts2155112431-720
12St Johnstone2143142341-1815


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