Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
54.88% ( 0.08) | 23.32% ( -0.03) | 21.8% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.16% ( 0.06) | 46.85% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.9% ( 0.06) | 69.1% ( -0.05) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 0.05) | 16.94% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( 0.09) | 47.02% ( -0.09) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.26% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.49% ( -0.02) | 72.51% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |