Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
36.45% ( 0.01) | 26.47% ( -0) | 37.07% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% ( 0) | 52.19% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% ( 0) | 73.9% ( -0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( 0) | 27.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( 0.01) | 63.16% ( -0.01) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( -0) | 27.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( -0) | 62.7% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |