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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Udinese


Krunic (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Sunday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Udinese

They may have lost to Inter, Juventus and PSG this season, but Milan have been beaten just twice in their last 25 games against teams sitting inside Serie A's bottom four. Winning 18 times during that period shows that the Rossoneri rarely struggle against Italy's lesser lights, so an ailing Udinese side are bound for defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
59.84% (-0.143 -0.14) 22.17% (0.07 0.07) 17.99% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-0.188 -0.19)47.13% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.175 -0.17)69.36% (0.176 0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.111 -0.11)15.34% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.89% (-0.208 -0.21)44.11% (0.208 0.21)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.023 -0.02)76.59% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 59.83%
    Udinese 17.99%
    Draw 22.17%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.83%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
91.3%
Draw
5.8%
Udinese
2.9%
69
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
rhs 2.0
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(ret.)
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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