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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 1-3 Inter Milan

Empoli can get off the mark with an overdue goal this weekend, though even if they end their drought Inter simply boast too much firepower for them to handle. A change of management may eventually have some effect on the Azzurri's ailing fortunes, but their Milanese counterparts will take charge of proceedings in Sunday's early kickoff and post a fifth league win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
15.84% (0.02 0.02) 21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 62.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.137 0.14)49.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.125 0.13)71.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (0.106 0.11)43.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09)79.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)43.8% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.84%
    Inter Milan 62.36%
    Draw 21.78%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
8.8%
Draw
5.9%
Inter Milan
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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