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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Frosinone logo

Cagliari
4 - 3
Frosinone

Oristanio (72'), Makoumbou (76'), Pavoletti (90+4', 90+6')
Prati (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Soule (23', 37'), Brescianini (49')
Romagnoli (25'), Bourabia (85'), Okoli (87'), Marchizza (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone

Cagliari's woes could continue into November, as the Sardinian side are set for a seventh Serie A defeat of the season; they have a sieve-like defence and can be caught out by Frosinone's bright attacking talents more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFrosinone
37.18% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.153 0.15)55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.126 0.13)76.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.10300000000001 0.1)28.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.126 0.13)64.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.65% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.087999999999994 0.09)65.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.17%
    Frosinone 35.59%
    Draw 27.23%
CagliariDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Frosinone

Cagliari
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Frosinone
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
2-2
Cagliari
Rohden (32'), Insigne (67')
Luvumbo (14'), Lapadula (90+7' pen.)
Apr 20, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
1-0
Frosinone
Pedro (27' pen.)
Farago (57'), Pedro (82')
Farago (79')

Ciano (90')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
1-1
Cagliari
Cassata (14')
Cassata (32')
Farias (77')
Ceppitelli (34'), Bradaric (37'), Srna (40'), Barella (54'), Pavoletti (60'), Farias (90')
Barella (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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