Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari4 - 3Frosinone
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone
Cagliari's woes could continue into November, as the Sardinian side are set for a seventh Serie A defeat of the season; they have a sieve-like defence and can be caught out by Frosinone's bright attacking talents more than once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone |
37.18% ( 0.05) | 27.23% ( -0.04) | 35.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% ( 0.15) | 55.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( 0.13) | 76.52% ( -0.12) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( 0.1) | 28.69% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.49% ( 0.13) | 64.51% ( -0.12) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( 0.07) | 29.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.3% ( 0.09) | 65.7% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 37.17%
Frosinone 35.59%
Draw 27.23%
| Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.59% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Frosinone
Cagliari
27.6%Draw
20.7%Frosinone
51.7%29
Form Guide
