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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Frosinone logo

Roma
2 - 0
Frosinone

Lukaku (21'), Pellegrini (83')
Karsdorp (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrenechea (46'), Soule (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 4-1 Roma
Thursday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Frosinone

Disjointed displays and dismal results have led to piles of pressure on Roma to collect three points on Sunday. Their modest visitors from nearby Frosinone will not roll over, though, and with some astute coaching and a sprinkling of on-loan talent they can frustrate their illustrious hosts at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFrosinone
49.86% (0.474 0.47) 25.84% (-0.128 -0.13) 24.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (0.219 0.22)54.54% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (0.181 0.18)75.89% (-0.179 -0.18)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.29799999999999 0.3)21.91% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.45 0.45)55.17% (-0.447 -0.45)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.185 -0.18)37.69% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.184 -0.18)74.47% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 49.85%
    Frosinone 24.3%
    Draw 25.84%
RomaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.3%

How you voted: Roma vs Frosinone

Roma
65.6%
Draw
23.4%
Frosinone
10.9%
64
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Frosinone
2-3
Roma
Ciano (5'), Pinamonti (80')
Goldaniga (68'), Cassata (78')
Dzeko (30', 90'), Pellegrini (31')
El Shaarawy (39'), Dzeko (42')
Sep 26, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 6
Roma
4-0
Frosinone
Under (2'), Pastore (28'), El Shaarawy (35'), Kolarov (87')

Campbell (90')
Jan 30, 2016 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Frosinone
Nainggolan (18'), El Shaarawy (48'), Pjanic (84')
Manolas (41')
Ciofani (24')
Ajeti (15'), Dionisi (64')
Sep 12, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
0-2
Roma

Diakite (40'), Pavlovic (65'), Rosi (76'), Leali (94')
Falque (44'), Iturbe (93')
Falque (27'), Totti (38'), De Rossi (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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