Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari1 - 1Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Cagliari 2-2 Lecce
Throughout Serie A, Lecce (39%) and Cagliari (36%) have scored the highest share of goals during the final 15 minutes, so nothing will be decided until the final whistle blows. The Salentini have recently started picking up more points on the road, but their hosts never know when they are beaten and should at least avoid defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Lecce |
45.49% ( -2.24) | 26.67% ( 0.46) | 27.84% ( 1.78) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.69) | 55.32% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( -0.57) | 76.54% ( 0.57) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( -1.35) | 24.25% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% ( -1.95) | 58.6% ( 1.95) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( 1.09) | 35.12% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.13% ( 1.13) | 71.86% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 45.49%
Lecce 27.84%
Draw 26.66%
| Cagliari | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.84% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Lecce
Cagliari
43.9%Draw
34.8%Lecce
21.2%66
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Cagliari
0-0
Lecce
Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
