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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Monza

Cagliari
1 - 1
Monza

Dossena (10')
Prati (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maric (61')
Birindelli (48'), Pepin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Monza

Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CagliariDrawMonza
45.43% (-0.362 -0.36) 25.56% (0.41 0.41) 29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-1.335 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-1.731 -1.73)50.35% (1.735 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-1.554 -1.55)72.29% (1.558 1.56)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.886 -0.89)22.14% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (-1.356 -1.36)55.52% (1.36 1.36)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)31.6% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-1.078 -1.08)68.01% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.43%
    Monza 29%
    Draw 25.56%
CagliariDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza

Cagliari
33.9%
Draw
33.9%
Monza
32.2%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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