Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Monza |
45.43% ( -0.36) | 25.56% ( 0.41) | 29% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.26% ( -1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% ( -1.73) | 50.35% ( 1.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% ( -1.55) | 72.29% ( 1.56) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( -0.89) | 22.14% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% ( -1.36) | 55.52% ( 1.36) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.92) | 31.6% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -1.08) | 68.01% ( 1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.43% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |