MX23RW : Monday, May 6 21:31:08| >> :120:7753:7753:
Newcastle logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Milan logo

Newcastle
1 - 2
AC Milan

Joelinton (33')
Joelinton (72'), Schar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (59'), Chukwueze (84')
Leao (40'), Maignan (45+1'), Jovic (78'), Musah (80'), Florenzi (90')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United's first Champions League journey in 21 years ends at the first hurdle as AC Milan come from behind to prevail 2-1 in their final Group F encounter.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAC Milan
49.27% (0.51000000000001 0.51) 24.28% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.45% (-0.591 -0.59)
Both teams to score 55.48% (-0.785 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.801 -0.8)46.54% (0.80399999999999 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.759 -0.76)68.82% (0.761 0.76)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.107 -0.11)18.95% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.182 -0.18)50.47% (0.184 0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.876 -0.88)31.55% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-1.024 -1.02)67.95% (1.026 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 49.27%
    AC Milan 26.45%
    Draw 24.28%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.299 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Newcastle vs AC Milan

Newcastle United
57.0%
Draw
16.1%
AC Milan
26.9%
186
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
AC Milan
0-0
Newcastle
Calabria (40'), Musah (82'), Giroud (83'), Krunic (89')
Schar (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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