Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle1 - 2AC Milan
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United's first Champions League journey in 21 years ends at the first hurdle as AC Milan come from behind to prevail 2-1 in their final Group F encounter.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 AC Milan
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | AC Milan |
49.27% ( 0.51) | 24.28% ( 0.08) | 26.45% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 55.48% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.46% ( -0.8) | 46.54% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.18% ( -0.76) | 68.82% ( 0.76) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% ( -0.11) | 18.95% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.53% ( -0.18) | 50.47% ( 0.18) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% ( -0.88) | 31.55% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% ( -1.02) | 67.95% ( 1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 49.27%
AC Milan 26.45%
Draw 24.28%
Newcastle United | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.45% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs AC Milan
Newcastle United
57.0%Draw
16.1%AC Milan
26.9%186
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-22 18:20:25
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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