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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Empoli logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
Empoli

De Ketelaere (34', 86'), Lookman (45+1')
Zaniolo (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Colombo (13'), Esposito (58' pen.)
D'Aversa (59'), Pezzella (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Cesena
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Torino
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Empoli

Atalanta have drawn only one of their last 23 Serie A home fixtures - and none since mid-April - while averaging 2.6 goals per game. A clear outcome should be expected, then, and even Empoli's admirable away record cannot help them defeat La Dea. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
72.94% (4.48 4.48) 16.67% (-2.045 -2.05) 10.39% (-2.435 -2.44)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-1.027 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (2.916 2.92)39.19% (-2.915 -2.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (2.988 2.99)61.52% (-2.989 -2.99)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (1.903 1.9)9.35% (-1.9021 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.49% (4.324 4.32)31.51% (-4.324 -4.32)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-2.313 -2.31)46.16% (2.314 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.15% (-1.849 -1.85)81.84% (1.848 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.92%
    Empoli 10.39%
    Draw 16.67%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-0 @ 9.57% (1 1)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.332 0.33)
4-0 @ 5.67% (0.989 0.99)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.524 0.52)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.69% (0.642 0.64)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.391 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.103 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.317 0.32)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 72.92%
1-1 @ 7.91% (-0.978 -0.98)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.617 -0.62)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.38 -0.38)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.67%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.731 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.06% (-0.607 -0.61)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.39%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
88.9%
Draw
7.9%
Empoli
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Atalanta
2-0
Empoli
Pasalic (42' pen.), Lookman (51')
Scalvini (81')

Luperto (24'), Kovalenko (77')
Oct 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta

Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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