Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 1Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Dortmund
Friday, January 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, January 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
32
We said: Bologna 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
It has been a tough start for the year for Dortmund and with the pressure on their boss, we think they will grab a win that will keep Sahin in his job at least a little longer. We think that the visitors will edge a close encounter against a Bologna side that have found it difficult to score goals in the Champions League this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
43.62% ( -0) | 25.13% ( 0.01) | 31.26% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.54% ( -0.02) | 47.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.33% ( -0.02) | 69.68% ( 0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( -0.01) | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.06% ( -0.02) | 54.94% ( 0.02) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( -0.01) | 28.57% ( 0.01) |