MX23RW : Friday, January 31 15:38:44| >> :120:3821:3821:
Bologna logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Dortmund logo

Bologna
2 - 1
Dortmund

Dallinga (71'), Iling-Junior (72')
Holm (13'), Freuler (19'), Lucumi (60'), Adeyemi (90+6'), Ferguson (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (15' pen.)
Beier (62'), Adeyemi (81'), Couto (82'), Ryerson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 0-1 Borussia Dortmund

It has been a tough start for the year for Dortmund and with the pressure on their boss, we think they will grab a win that will keep Sahin in his job at least a little longer. We think that the visitors will edge a close encounter against a Bologna side that have found it difficult to score goals in the Champions League this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawBorussia Dortmund
43.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 31.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)47.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)69.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.75% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)54.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)64.36% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 43.62%
    Borussia Dortmund 31.26%
    Draw 25.12%
BolognaDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.62%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Bologna vs Dortmund

Bologna
24.7%
Draw
16.0%
Borussia Dortmund
59.3%
194
rhs 2.0
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