Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 2Genoa
We said: Empoli 0-1 Genoa
Genoa are unbeaten in their last nine Serie A meetings with Empoli - drawing each of the last four - and they can take that streak into double figures by beating their hosts on Saturday. While the Azzurri often fail to impress in front of their own fans, their visitors have proven tough to defeat since Patrick Vieira took charge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
42.12% ( -0.04) | 29.7% | 28.18% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
