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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Spezia Calcio logo

Empoli
2 - 2
Spezia

Cambiaghi (71'), Vignato (90+4')
Vicario (24')
Parisi (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Verde (25' pen., 31')
Nikolaou (25'), Verde (33'), Esposito (39'), Ekdal (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 2-1 Spezia

Empoli and Spezia have faced the most shots per game on average in Serie A this season (both over 16), so it could be an open affair at the Castellani. The hosts, though, are in far better form, and home advantage makes them likely winners against absence-hit opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawSpezia
45.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 26.31% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)75.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)57.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 45.76%
    Spezia 27.91%
    Draw 26.31%
EmpoliDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.91%

How you voted: Empoli vs Spezia

Empoli
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Spezia
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')

Henderson (14')
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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