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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
0 - 4
Lazio


Amrabat (24'), Julio (27'), Mandragora (68'), Dodo (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
Lazzari (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Lazio

On the back of their ruthless showing against Hearts, Fiorentina will believe that they can replicate that performance on Monday evening. However, we cannot ignore Lazio's recent form, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory for a team who are relishing the challenge of gatecrashing the top four this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
47.7% (0.657 0.66) 25.16% (-0.194 -0.19) 27.13% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.515 0.52)49.81% (-0.514 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.458 0.46)71.81% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.498 0.5)20.9% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (0.774 0.77)53.62% (-0.774 -0.77)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)32.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.1 -0.1)69.3% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.7%
    Lazio 27.13%
    Draw 25.16%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
17.8%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
70.7%
314
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')
May 8, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Lazio
Vlahovic (32', 89')
Venuti (5'), Vlahovic (44'), Pezzella (58'), Iachini (88'), Caceres (90+2')

Acerbi (28'), Leiva (60'), Radu (66'), Felipe (74'), Pereira (77'), Cataldi (90+1'), Akpa-Akpro (90+6')
Pereira (90+5')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Lazio
2-1
Fiorentina
Caicedo (6'), Immobile (75')
Felipe (43'), Escalante (45'), Hoedt (87')
Vlahovic (88' pen.)
Castrovilli (82')
Jun 27, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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