MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:37:18| >> :120:13661:13661:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Lazio logo

Sturm Graz
0 - 0
Lazio


Ilzer (23'), Hierlander (34'), Gazibegovic (35'), Siebenhandl (90'), Kiteishvili (90+5')
Gazibegovic (82')
FT

Cataldi (25'), Patric (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Lazio

As Lazio have lost eight of their last 10 Europa League games on the road, victory should not be taken for granted as they travel outside Rome again. Nonetheless, their greater individual quality should see them past a modest Sturm Graz side in what could be quite an open contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawLazio
51.35% (0.139 0.14) 23.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)68.59% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.022999999999996 0.02)18.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.042000000000002 0.04)48.94% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.149 -0.15)32.79% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.165 -0.17)69.35% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.35%
    Lazio 24.76%
    Draw 23.89%
Sturm GrazDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.35%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.76%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Lazio

Sturm Graz
15.1%
Draw
10.6%
Lazio
74.4%
199
rhs 2.0
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