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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Spezia Calcio logo

Lazio
4 - 0
Spezia

Zaccagni (12'), Romagnoli (24'), Milinkovic-Savic (61', 90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ampadu (1'), Gyasi (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-4 Lazio
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Spezia

 Both sides have improved at the back this season, as Lazio have conceded five league goals in 2022-23 compared to 12 at this point last year; Spezia have leaked 11 compared to 19. The hosts are a formidable prospect on home soil, though, and even if Immobile sits out, chief creator Sergej Milinkovic-Savic can cause havoc in the visitors' defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSpezia
70.88% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.21%11.91%
Both teams to score 52.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.69%37.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.48%59.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.49% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.51%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81%42.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4%78.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 70.87%
    Spezia 11.91%
    Draw 17.21%
LazioDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 7.55%
4-0 @ 5.18%
4-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.26%
5-0 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.93%
6-0 @ 0.97%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 70.87%
1-1 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.13%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.21%
1-2 @ 3.48%
0-1 @ 3.4%
0-2 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 11.91%

How you voted: Lazio vs Spezia

Lazio
88.4%
Draw
8.4%
Spezia
3.2%
95
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
3-4
Lazio
Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Lazio
2-1
Spezia
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
Immobile (15'), Milinkovic-Savic (33')
Akpa-Akpro (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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