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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Spezia Calcio logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Spezia


Umtiti (49'), Blin (89')
FT

Wisniewski (59'), Esposito (86'), N'Zola (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-0 Spezia

Lecce can celebrate their 600th Serie A fixture by securing a crucial win that could effectively keep them in the top flight. Spezia do not travel well - 11 losses from 17 away games attest to that - and they could be left hoping Verona do not capitalise on another slip-up at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSpezia
47.7% (0.34 0.34) 26.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 26.07% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (0.225 0.23)56.72% (-0.222 -0.22)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-0.248 -0.25)36.24% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-0.251 -0.25)73.02% (0.25399999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 47.7%
    Spezia 26.07%
    Draw 26.22%
LecceDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Lecce vs Spezia

Lecce
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Spezia
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
gameweek 38
Lecce
2-1
Spezia
Petriccione (9'), La Mantia (27')
Lucioni (13')
Capradossi (83')
Ricci (52')
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
gameweek 19
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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