Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Spezia |
47.7% ( 0.34) | 26.23% ( -0.05) | 26.07% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% ( -0) | 54.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.97% ( -0) | 76.03% ( 0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( 0.15) | 22.94% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( 0.23) | 56.72% ( -0.22) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( -0.25) | 36.24% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.98% ( -0.25) | 73.02% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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