Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 28.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
47.25% ( 0.09) | 23.79% ( -0.18) | 28.96% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.14% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.39% ( 0.86) | 42.61% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( 0.85) | 65.01% ( -0.85) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% ( 0.37) | 18.22% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.75% ( 0.63) | 49.24% ( -0.63) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( 0.49) | 27.68% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( 0.63) | 63.23% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.58% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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