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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Udinese

Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dimarco (42'), Thuram (44'), Martinez (84')
Inzaghi (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferreira (13'), Cioffi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese

With defensive injuries mounting up, Inter boss Simone Inzaghi will be keen to take care of business against Serie A strugglers Udinese without taking too much of a toll on his squad. The Nerazzurri can take a stranglehold of the game by scoring at least once in the first half, then cruise towards win number 12 of their league campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
71.19% (0.11500000000001 0.12) 18.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 10.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.050999999999995 0.05)44.33% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.7% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)11.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.39% (0.096999999999994 0.1)35.61% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.21% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)48.78% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.2% (-0.064 -0.06)83.8% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.18%
    Udinese 10.78%
    Draw 18.03%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.93%
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.18%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 10.78%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Udinese

Inter Milan
94.5%
Draw
3.6%
Udinese
1.8%
55
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
3-1
Udinese
Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lovric (43')
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 35
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Inter Milan
2-0
Udinese
Correa (60', 68')

Beto (38'), Pereyra (51')
May 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 38
Inter Milan
5-1
Udinese
Young (8'), Eriksen (44'), Martinez (55' pen.), Perisic (64'), Lukaku (71')
Martinez (26')
Pereyra (79' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma185582424020
11Empoli194871822-420
12Torino185581924-520
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
15Parma184682534-918
16Como184682030-1018
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
19CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
20Monza1817101625-910


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