Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 2Juventus
We said: Empoli 0-1 Juventus
Although a late flurry in the transfer market has bolstered Empoli's squad, they may still come up just short on Sunday; continuing their wait for a first point of the season. Juventus have the necessary firepower to see off their hosts and enter the international break on a high. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
24.18% ( 0.86) | 25.02% ( 0.8) | 50.8% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
