Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio3 - 1Genoa
We said: Lazio 2-0 Genoa
Genoa are more than capable of making this a tricky match for Lazio despite their problems this season. That said, the White and Blues have a lot of quality in the forward areas, and we are expecting the home side to put an important three points on the board in relatively routine fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
| 67.88% | 18.63% | 13.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% | 40.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% | 62.49% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.16% | 10.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.07% | 34.93% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.44% | 41.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.95% | 78.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 67.88%
Genoa 13.48%
Draw 18.64%
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.58% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.16% Total : 67.88% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.48% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Genoa
Lazio
90.1%Draw
6.6%Genoa
3.3%182
Head to Head
May 2, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Lazio
4-3
Genoa
Marusic (47' og.), Scamacca (80' pen.), Shomurodov (81')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
1-1
Lazio
Sep 29, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lazio
4-0
Genoa
