Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
68.49% | 17.9% | 13.61% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.75% | 36.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.63% | 58.38% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.37% | 9.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.82% | 32.18% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% | 38.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% | 75.6% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.76% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 4.68% 4-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.57% 5-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.24% Total : 68.49% | 1-1 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.9% | 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-1 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |