Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Parma |
67.84% | 17.94% | 14.22% |
Both teams to score 56.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.99% | 35.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43% | 57.01% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.54% | 9.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.24% | 31.76% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% | 37.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% | 74% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.3% 3-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 4.54% 4-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 2.12% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.47% Total : 67.84% | 1-1 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 3.52% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.94% | 1-2 @ 4.06% 0-1 @ 3.48% 0-2 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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