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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Lazio logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Lazio


Gyasi (30'), Ampadu (33')
Ampadu (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Immobile (36' pen.), Anderson (52'), Antonio (89')
Lazzari (46'), Cataldi (71'), Antonio (81'), Romagnoli (83'), Cancellieri (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 8 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Lazio

Lazio have comfortably swept aside Spezia in recent meetings, but a tighter affair could be in store on Friday considering the hosts' improvements over the last two weeks. Nevertheless, Lazio should have too much strength in the final third and will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top at the Stadio Alberto Picco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
22.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.09% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.09% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7%38.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94%75.06%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.49% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)51.51% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 22.2%
    Lazio 53.08%
    Draw 24.7%
SpeziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.2%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 12.22%
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-4 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.08%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia
11.7%
Draw
7.8%
Lazio
80.6%
103
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 11.30am
Apr 30, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
3-4
Lazio
Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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