Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta3 - 2Spezia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Atalanta
Saturday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Spezia
Atalanta are beginning to find some form at just the right time, while Spezia are becoming more desperate to end their winless streak. Taking both things into consideration, we can only see the home side running out comfortable victors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Spezia |
67.69% ( 0.37) | 18.79% ( 0.07) | 13.52% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.27% ( -1.4) | 40.73% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( -1.45) | 63.12% ( 1.45) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.93% ( -0.3) | 11.06% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.58% ( -0.66) | 35.42% ( 0.66) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.11% ( -1.54) | 41.89% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.66% ( -1.37) | 78.34% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 67.69%
Spezia 13.52%
Draw 18.79%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.52)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.02% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.79% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.52% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Spezia
Atalanta BC
86.8%Draw
8.8%Spezia
4.4%68
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 1.30pm
May 8, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 36
Spezia
1-3
Atalanta
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
gameweek 13
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
