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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Monza

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Monza

Kean (45'), Gosens (90+6')
Mandragora (23'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Djuric (18'), Maldini (32')
Pessina (21'), Izzo (75'), Petagna (80'), Nesta (81'), Gagliardini (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 Fiorentina (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza

 Sunday's game will bring together the team with most shots on target after two Serie A matchdays (Fiorentina, 15) and the side with fewest (Monza, three). After a draining 120-minute match in Hungary, though, Raffaele Palladino's men may not be in sufficient shape to record their first league win of the season, with Monza standing firm to frustrate their former manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMonza
65.74% (-0.47 -0.47) 20.59% (0.314 0.31) 13.67% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)48.31% (0.967 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.889 -0.89)70.45% (0.89 0.89)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.443 -0.44)13.87% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.882 -0.88)41.27% (0.882 0.88)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.59% (-0.354 -0.35)46.4% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-0.274 -0.27)82.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.73%
    Monza 13.67%
    Draw 20.59%
FiorentinaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 12.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.08% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.59%
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza

Fiorentina
71.0%
Draw
27.5%
Monza
1.4%
69
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-1
Monza
Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')
Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
0-1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')
Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
3-2
Fiorentina
Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-1
Monza
Cabral (19')
Augusto (61')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
Third Round
Fiorentina
3-1
Monza
Vlahovic (80', 86'), Chiesa (89')
Terzic (29'), Ranieri (71'), Vlahovic (87')
Brighenti (34')
Sampirisi (33'), Scaglia (39'), Bellusci (44'), Iocolano (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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