Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
65.74% ( -0.47) | 20.59% ( 0.31) | 13.67% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.69% ( -0.97) | 48.31% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.89) | 70.45% ( 0.89) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% ( -0.44) | 13.87% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.73% ( -0.88) | 41.27% ( 0.88) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.59% ( -0.35) | 46.4% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% ( -0.27) | 82.03% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.73% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 |
2 | Inter Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
3 | Torino | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Udinese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Napoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
8 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
9 | Lazio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Parma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Genoa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
17 | Como | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
18 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
19 | Roma | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
> Serie A Full Table |