Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce2 - 1Monza
We said: Lecce 1-2 Monza
Crosses and set-pieces could play a part in this game's outcome, as Monza have conceded the most headed goals in Serie A (eight), with Lecce lying joint-second (six) in those rankings. The visitors' wait for a win may come to its end, as their hosts are still unstable at the back and are by far the lowest scorers in Italy's top flight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
35.86% ( 2.49) | 26.67% ( 0.75) | 37.48% ( -3.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( -2.82) | 53.01% ( 2.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( -2.45) | 74.61% ( 2.46) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.17) | 28.38% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.88% ( 0.22) | 64.12% ( -0.21) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -3.06) | 27.42% ( 3.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.1% ( -4.14) | 62.89% ( 4.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 35.86%
Monza 37.47%
Draw 26.66%
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.71)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.83)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.56)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.47% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Monza
Lecce
41.1%Draw
32.1%Monza
26.8%56
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lecce
1-1
Monza
Sep 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Monza
1-1
Lecce
May 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 37
Monza
0-1
Lecce
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
Gameweek 26
Monza
0-1
Lecce
