Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Monza |
35.86% ( 2.49) | 26.67% ( 0.75) | 37.48% ( -3.24) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( -2.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.98% ( -2.82) | 53.01% ( 2.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.39% ( -2.45) | 74.61% ( 2.46) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( 0.17) | 28.38% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( 0.22) | 64.12% ( -0.21) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.58% ( -3.06) | 27.42% ( 3.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.1% ( -4.14) | 62.89% ( 4.15) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.56) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |