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Serie A
Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
0 - 4
Napoli


Gravillon (20')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Ndombele (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 0-1 Napoli

 Torino have conceded only eight goals at home, so Napoli's path to win 23 of the Serie A season is far from straightforward. As the Granata's defence generally stands firm under Ivan Juric, it could take a moment of magic to prise them open - but the Scudetto favourites are certainly capable of producing one of those. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
19.13% (0.099 0.1) 24.45% (0.152 0.15) 56.41% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)54.54% (0.446 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (-0.373 -0.37)75.89% (0.372 0.37)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05% (-0.151 -0.15)42.95% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.75% (-0.126 -0.13)79.25% (0.125 0.13)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.268 -0.27)19.23% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.442 -0.44)50.93% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Torino 19.13%
    Napoli 56.4%
    Draw 24.45%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.4%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
8.1%
Draw
8.1%
Napoli
83.8%
99
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
Singo (70')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Insigne (90+2')
Bakayoko (63'), Elmas (87'), Di Lorenzo (90+6')
Izzo (56')
Izzo (33'), Buongiorno (40'), Linetty (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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