Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli1 - 0Venezia
We said: Napoli 3-0 Venezia
Although Venezia are showing signs of life, Napoli will be determined to keep pace with their title rivals by beating promoted opponents. The home side should exploit their visitors' defensive deficiencies, scoring several times and keeping yet another clean sheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Venezia |
71.57% ( 0.13) | 17.55% ( -0.05) | 10.88% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
