Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Napoli |
27.32% ( 0.3) | 27.56% ( 0.07) | 45.11% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.17% ( -0.08) | 58.83% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.66% ( -0.06) | 79.34% ( 0.06) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( 0.2) | 37.43% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( 0.2) | 74.21% ( -0.21) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.22) | 26.01% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.3) | 61.03% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |