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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lazio logo

Napoli
0 - 1
Lazio


McTominay (46'), Rrahmani (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Isaksen (79')
Dia (19'), Guendouzi (45+1'), Castellanos (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Napoli
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Napoli
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Napoli 2-1 Lazio

 Only a weak away record has kept Lazio from matching Napoli's pace so far this season, and that may undermine their hopes of victory at Stadio Maradona, where the hosts can reclaim top spot. Whatever happens within 90 minutes, the two southern sides have scored the most goals during second-half stoppage time this season - four apiece - so a frantic finale could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawLazio
47.04% (-1.062 -1.06) 25.71% (0.181 0.18) 27.25% (0.881 0.88)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-0.145 -0.14)51.95% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-0.125 -0.13)73.69% (0.126 0.13)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.532 -0.53)22.08% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (-0.809 -0.81)55.43% (0.809 0.81)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (0.63200000000001 0.63)33.79% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (0.683 0.68)70.45% (-0.682 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 47.04%
    Lazio 27.25%
    Draw 25.7%
NapoliDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lazio

Napoli
70.4%
Draw
19.2%
Lazio
10.4%
125
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
3-1
Napoli
Noslin (32', 41', 50')
Zaccagni (57'), Hysaj (80')
Simeone (36')
Marin (26'), Neres (84')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
> Match Report
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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