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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
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Lecce
2 - 2
Parma

Dorgu (32'), Krstovic (59')
Ramadani (31'), Dorgu (51'), Gaspar (54'), Rafia (84')
Guilbert (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Almqvist (90+3'), Hainaut (90+5')
Cancellieri (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Parma

 Parma have conceded goals in each of their last 27 Serie A away games - the longest ongoing streak without a clean sheet on the road - and Lecce may take advantage of their naivety to extend that run. However, the Crociati have been pretty impressive since returning to Italy's top tier, and this time they can retain a lead and take three points back to Emilia-Romagna. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawParma
41.2% (-0.764 -0.76) 26.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 32.45% (0.717 0.72)
Both teams to score 52.35% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.96% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)25.04% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.54 -0.54)59.71% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.48700000000001 0.49)30.17% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.581 0.58)66.32% (-0.58200000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.19%
    Parma 32.45%
    Draw 26.35%
LecceDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 3% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.45%

How you voted: Lecce vs Parma

Lecce
29.9%
Draw
24.3%
Parma
45.8%
107
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Lecce
2-4
Parma
Piccoli (54'), Espeto (76')
Espeto (72'), Berisha (87')
Sohm (9'), Bonny (28'), Pongracic (90+4' og.), Man (90+7' pen.)
Mihaila (33'), Coulibaly (74'), Zagaritis (85')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Parma
0-0
Lecce
Tutino (27'), Larangeira (43'), Cobbaut (61'), Vazquez (84')
Hjulmand (27'), Coda (36')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
4-0
Parma
Coda (16', 31' pen., 44'), Espeto (37')
Lucioni (33'), Espeto (54')

Busi (68')
Aug 15, 2021 5pm
First Round
Parma
1-3
Lecce
Brunetta (7')
Sohm (58')
Coda (9', 76'), Tuia (40')
Gendrey (27'), Olivieri (46')
Aug 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
3-4
Parma
Barak (40'), Meccariello (45'), Lapadula (68')
Lucioni (11' og.), Caprari (24'), Cornelius (52'), Inglese (66')
Kurtic (34'), Alves (45')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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