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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
1 - 1
Roma

Zapata (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (68')
Paredes (60'), Kristensen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Roma
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

Heading into the fifth round of fixtures, only Napoli had conceded fewer shots than Roma in Serie A this season; meanwhile, only Cagliari have recorded fewer on target than Torino. It could therefore be a close-fought encounter in Turin, with perhaps one goal separating two well-drilled sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
36.13% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.93% (0.193 0.19) 33.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 42.29% (-0.521 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.1% (-0.618 -0.62)64.9% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (-0.436 -0.44)83.82% (0.43799999999999 0.44)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)34.22% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.356 -0.36)70.91% (0.358 0.36)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)35.71% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.485 -0.48)72.48% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Torino 36.13%
    Roma 33.94%
    Draw 29.92%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.21% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.92%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
15.5%
Draw
28.9%
Roma
55.7%
97
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Torino
0-1
Roma
Dybala (8' pen.)
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Torino
Matic (90+4')
Linetty (55')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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