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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
1 - 1
Roma

Zapata (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (68')
Paredes (60'), Kristensen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Roma
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

Heading into the fifth round of fixtures, only Napoli had conceded fewer shots than Roma in Serie A this season; meanwhile, only Cagliari have recorded fewer on target than Torino. It could therefore be a close-fought encounter in Turin, with perhaps one goal separating two well-drilled sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
36.13% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.93% (0.193 0.19) 33.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 42.29% (-0.521 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.1% (-0.618 -0.62)64.9% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (-0.436 -0.44)83.82% (0.43799999999999 0.44)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)34.22% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.356 -0.36)70.91% (0.358 0.36)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)35.71% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.485 -0.48)72.48% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Torino 36.13%
    Roma 33.94%
    Draw 29.92%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.21% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.92%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
15.5%
Draw
28.9%
Roma
55.7%
97
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Torino
0-1
Roma
Dybala (8' pen.)
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Torino
Matic (90+4')
Linetty (55')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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