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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
1 - 1
Roma

Zapata (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (68')
Paredes (60'), Kristensen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Roma
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

Heading into the fifth round of fixtures, only Napoli had conceded fewer shots than Roma in Serie A this season; meanwhile, only Cagliari have recorded fewer on target than Torino. It could therefore be a close-fought encounter in Turin, with perhaps one goal separating two well-drilled sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
36.13% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.93% (0.193 0.19) 33.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 42.29% (-0.521 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.1% (-0.618 -0.62)64.9% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (-0.436 -0.44)83.82% (0.43799999999999 0.44)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)34.22% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.356 -0.36)70.91% (0.358 0.36)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)35.71% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.485 -0.48)72.48% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Torino 36.13%
    Roma 33.94%
    Draw 29.92%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.21% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.92%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
Draw
Roma
Torino
15.5%
Draw
28.9%
Roma
55.7%
97
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Torino
0-1
Roma
Dybala (8' pen.)
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Torino
Matic (90+4')
Linetty (55')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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